Nassim Nicholas Taleb must have laughed when he read this…
But am still in a dilemma whom to believe…
Taleb says everything is random and nothing can be forecasted with precision…
And here comes the soldiers of “the Sovereign Individual” (The book “The Soveriegn Individual” explains about the megaploitical changes that is transforming the twenty first century and its consequences), who are trying to do just the same..
Twenty years ago, I first came across the notion of megapolitical analysis in James Dale Davidson & Sir William Rees-Mogg's book Blood in the Streets. A megapolitical analysis tries to get up above events and see the larger pattern that exists. Assuming you've done your analysis correctly, what you're looking at is the structural situation. An example may help. In the late 1800s, Western nations had the machine-gun (whose efficacy had been pr … Read More
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